A few days ago, the domestic technology circle broke out. When Baidu developed the unmanned self-driving car, let the engineer stand in front of it to measure whether the engineer has enough confidence in his programming code. This raises the question: Will an engineer assume unlimited joint liability after a car accident in a future? Tens of thousands of cars are flying all over the country at the same time. One has a problem. Who is going to carry this pot? The driver will say: The car is opened by himself. What does it have to do with me? The insurance company will say: I am insured by the driver himself. You get a car that you will drive there. How should the premium be calculated? With such questions, we will find in this article that there are many factors that prevent unmanned driving, but the biggest one is from the law. It can be said fairly that the law is the enemy of unmanned driving technology. It can't be ruined, it can never come to us. In what ways does the law hinder the spread of unmanned driving technology? Doesn't that need to pay parking fees and let the car go around a building in an endless cycle? Is it really impossible to see it in its lifetime? This article tries to sort out all of this for you and gives you a slightly clearer answer. This is a question we must understand before we discuss this topic. In fact, this question almost determines everything we want to discuss later. What is the standard of “no one†in unmanned driving? Let us first look at a generally recognized system of judgement in the industry. This evaluation system was developed by SAE (formerly known as the Society of Automotive Engineers). In fact, there is also a “National High-Speed ​​Traffic Safety Supervision Committeeâ€. They have also developed a set of standards. In fact, the two are said one time. thing. But given that we now have to speak globally, it would be nice to use the SAE set. Stage 0: You have to come by yourself. This stage is the easiest, and the car needs you to complete each operation instruction. Stage 1: Help you SAE calls “Phase 1†a “driver assist phaseâ€. However, this statement is a bit too vague. In fact, it is to help you complete a single task, more specifically, "cruise control." For example, if you want to let the car move at 60 per hour, then the car will guarantee a stable speed of 60. It doesn't turn automatically, it doesn't automatically guarantee to go straight in one lane, and it won't automatically brake you for the accident before an accident occurs. Phase 2: Building trust This is actually the deepening of the meaning of the word "help" in the previous stage. It can help you drive as long as you have enough caution. Now, this car can maintain its own speed, slow down when it is close to other cars, and ensure that you go straight in the driveway. But if there is any unexpected situation, it is up to the driver to intervene. Tesla's "auto-cruise" system is the most typical representative of this stage, but it seems that many drivers just think of it as a "more advanced car computer system." Phase 3: Total Control Currently in the market, it has not been found that any manufacturer can slam the third stage of the car, but in the next five years, this is possible. This type of car is not just driving in its own lane, keeping a certain distance from other cars, and more importantly, they can make their own decisions. If they are walking on the road, they suddenly encounter a car in front of the car is always not meat, they can do is not simply to slow down to maintain the distance, but will choose to turn left to directly overtake! Now the prototype of the Audi A7 can do this step! However, although it is fully controlled, there is still a person sitting in this car. Because once the weather is affected, the sensor sensitivity of the car does not meet the requirements, or the lane line drawn on the road suddenly becomes blurred. It is still necessary to manually control this time. So, even at this stage, your dream: "Going on the car and closing the door to sleep, when you wake up has arrived at the destination" is still not possible. Stage 4: Do it yourself At this stage, people become dispensable. Cars can judge and handle various situations on their own. Moreover, at the arrival of this stage, a large traffic environment system completely controlled by artificial intelligence has been formed, and all the vehicles are as accurately engaged as the gears on the clock. In this traffic environment, everything is so orderly and there are no special places. If you can't imagine this scene, you can refer to the movie "The World of Truman" starring Jim Carrey. Stage 5: Free walking Don't worry, there is still a fifth stage above the fourth stage. This is what Google has always wanted to achieve. The car is fully qualified for all driving tasks and can go anywhere. You don't need a driver at all, you don't even have a steering wheel and a brake pad. Just come in and tell the car where you are going now. Of course, sometimes you don't even have to say anything, because the car has taken your next from your electronic calendar. The to-do work is extracted and the next route is drawn on the map. So, at what stage is the law we are currently setting? The laws we have developed are mainly for the second phase and for the third phase. It is these two phases that are clearly “transitional in natureâ€, which makes the legal advancement difficult. There are certainly vested interests in the maintenance of the original pattern of the industry, as well as government and traffic regulatory agencies to consider public safety. In fact, it is not the technology itself that hinders the popularization of unmanned driving technology, but the flaws at the legal level. So, let's take a look at how the unintelligible problem will be encountered when no one is driving. 1. There is no uniformity in the safety standards in the industry. Safety is not just a matter of mouth. (The picture above is an illustration of how to prevent a collision in a Tesla unmanned self-driving car in Wikipedia) Although Google announced the unmanned self-driving truck it developed, and it was driving 100,000 miles without a traffic incident; Although the experts said: "The traffic accidents on urban streets are much higher than those on the highways, and the probability of the former is eight times that of the latter." But what happened is still happening. On May 7th, 2016, a day can be loaded into the history of automotive technology. The American man, also a diehard fan of Elon Musk, drove his Model S on the highway. At this time he started the "automatic cruising function". Whoever thought, this is equivalent to ringing his life. The death knell. After all, the Model S is the industry's most secure car in history, with unmanned driving features! After that, his body was always left in the driver's seat. The Model S slammed into a big white truck that crossed. The truck driver didn't have any injuries at all. When the traffic accident came out, the entire scientific community was in vain, and Tesla's share price fell by 30%. The accident happened and the cause was always found. Tesla said: Because the weather was particularly good that day, the clear sky, the white brushed sky and the white brushed truck, was completely regarded as a thing in the Model S detector. So the tragedy happened. Such a conclusion cannot actually draw a full stop for a traffic accident that is unmanned. On the contrary, it is like a thread on a pair of trousers. If you pull it a little hard, this trousers becomes a three-minute one. Group wool... For example: “When Tesla developed this car, are there other safety hazards and omissions? The sensor can't identify the danger. Is the sporadic situation still common on every Model S?†For example: “Before the car goes on the road, should it be through the professional third-party technology monitoring agencies in the transportation industry, and the regulatory agencies conduct safety assessments. In the face of such new and emerging technologies, what kind of safety assessment methods and standards should you adopt? Nothing wrong?" For example: "What if Tesla lie in this traffic accident? Perhaps the truth of the matter is that artificial intelligence doesn't know why it was because of a genius, and it was teased at a certain moment. And Tesla didn't want us to know?" I feel that the third "such as" is ridiculous. In fact, many people have such questions after the traffic accidents come out. Moreover, this is just a Tesla manufacturer, and there are so many manufacturers currently racing in the unmanned driving field. Apple, Google, Uber, and even Baidu from the Eastern countries have to take part. The models designed by each company are different. The concept of unmanned driving is different, and the safety performance and safety standards are different. Safety standards can't be unified, so a series of bills that make unmanned self-driving cars right on the road are even more difficult to talk about. 2, an accident, who is going to back pot? The most embarrassing thing now is that both the second and third phases are transitional. When it is publicized, it will be endless, and the future drawn will make people think about it. When it falls back to the ground, it will be filled with such a key sentence: "In the event of all emergencies, the driver needs to intervene for the first time." I might as well make a villain. Imagine if you want to promote such a self-driving car. The future concept of posters is sure to be full. A little old man in the car smiles happily, and the car carries the whole family. Fly to the distance. Then in the lower right corner of the poster, the font of "Little Five" will be printed: "In the event of any unexpected situation, the driver needs to intervene for the first time. †It is this sentence that can be killed. What is an emergency? Who caused this sudden situation? Is it because the car did not effectively identify the danger, I did not intervene in this sudden situation, and then the pot was back to me? What did you claim to be self-driving? Behind that kind of ease and comfort, there is still such a sentence waiting for me~ When it comes to the previous traffic accident of Model S, it is reasonable to say that the manufacturer wrote all the original books in the terms of the instruction manual. For example: “Automatic cruising cannot detect all obstacles and may not be able to identify vehicles parked in the lane. In addition, it is possible to detect bicycles or pedestrians. It is possible to rely solely on automatic cruising to cause casualties.†In addition to this article, a large number of safety practices are listed in the manual, many of which are associated with potential car accidents. I would like to ask, how many drivers are willing to remember these stinking and long explanations before opening their new car? It is estimated that if you write it down, you will not open it. Therefore, when a traffic accident occurs, how to judge in the court becomes a problem. Throw all the pots to the car company? The car company said that it clearly stated the rules clearly; throw the pot to the consumer? The jury is sure that it will not agree... 3. In the face of moral choices for life and death? We have already said before, what stages of unmanned self-driving technology are divided, and now all the power is going to the ultimate state. Let us assume that if the car is completely self-driving, people will not need to rely on it at all, and what problems will arise. Today, I drove my own unmanned car and was driving on a straight road. In front of me was a big truck with countless steel pipes. On the left was a single mother driving her own car, back seat. Still sitting on the boy who just got out of junior high school, he just gave me a middle finger; on my right is a female college student, who is riding on a bicycle and driving slowly, I will soon overtake her. Sitting next to the car behind my ass, a bunch of old couples, the old man driving, endured the old lady's continuation for decades. At this time, the truck was loosened due to bumps, and the belt tied to the steel pipe was loosened. At this time, my reaction is not as fast as the car, so let's freeze at this second, how should the car react? A sudden braking will directly lead to the rear of the car, the left turn, or the right turn, will certainly cause serious casualties. In other words, under different goals, the actions taken are different. The first right to life and the second in property rights are uncontroversial. But what if it wants artificial intelligence to make trade-offs between a few lives and ultimately give results that are as satisfying as possible for most people? Is this time still relying on the program preset by the programmer? The above extreme situation is imaginary at any time, but the meaning conveyed can be placed in many unexpected situations. Whether we can put our lives in the hands of the machine with confidence, in fact, still a big question mark. New technology and traditional industry When new technologies emerge, the industry landscape will always change. The peace situation in which everyone once settled down and settled a piece of cake was broken. Once they had firmly held a piece of land, the big men who sat on the mountain and the sky were now unable to sit still. Legislation and regulation of the unmanned driving industry is to give these vested interests more time. However, the time left for them is not a lot. According to Morgan Stanley's prediction, the full popularity of driverless cars will begin to appear in 2022, and by 2026 will completely occupy the mainstream position of the market. From then on, 20 years later, the cars we know and love today will disappear completely. Of course, this is just a statement, not to mention speculation. Then let us see how other families predict it! Navigant Research: "By 2035, the annual sales of unmanned self-driving cars will reach 95.4 million, which will account for 75% of the light vehicle market. IHS AutomoTIve: “By 2035, there will be approximately 54 million unmanned cars on a global scale.†ABI Research: "By 2032, half of the cars in North America's car sales market will have the function of self-driving, smart machines." Nissan: "By 2020, we will talk more about unmanned cars. It will be a revolutionary evolution. 2020 is a first year in a sense, we will really see unmanned The function began to spread to every car." When we put together all the predictions of these families, it is not difficult to see that the general conclusion in the industry is that the time window for truly opening up “disruptive technology†will be between 2020 and 2030. But looking back, look at the problems that no one is driving in this article. In this short period of four years, to climb the "law" of this mountain, I think it is difficult to climb the sky. Wuxi Doton Power , https://www.dotonpower.com